Spain vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
4 - 1
GEO
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
ALB
0 - 1
ESP
4%
12%
84%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
15%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
5 - 1
NIR
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
DEN
65%
18%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
25%
22%
54%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
HUN
78%
13%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GER
5 - 1
SCO
81%
12%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
GRC
84%
11%
5%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |