Spain vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ESP
5 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
99 | 42 | 57 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ESP
1 - 0
ENG
55%
24%
21%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 0
ESP
11%
22%
67%
|
99 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEL
67%
19%
13%
|
99 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
BIH
1 - 1
ESP
5%
15%
79%
|
99 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
CHN
7 - 0
HKG
83%
12%
5%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2004 |
KWT
1 - 0
CHN
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
MAS
0 - 1
CHN
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 3
JPN
22%
23%
56%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 1
IRN
31%
23%
46%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |