Scotland vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1983 |
CAN
0 - 2
SCO
2%
22%
76%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1983 |
CAN
0 - 3
SCO
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
CAN
0 - 2
SCO
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
ENG
2 - 0
SCO
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
WAL
0 - 2
SCO
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
VEN
1 - 2
URU
33%
31%
35%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
URU
3 - 0
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1983 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |