Scotland vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
13.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
18.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
18.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.3%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.2%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
6.8%
1.1%
Win probability
0.19
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
SWE
2 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
SCO
1 - 0
FIN
67%
22%
11%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
SCO
1 - 0
GRC
62%
24%
14%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
FRO
0 - 2
SCO
13%
23%
64%
|
89 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1995 |
ECU
1 - 2
SCO
30%
29%
40%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
SMR
1 - 3
FRO
54%
21%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 4
GRC
12%
22%
66%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 7
RUS
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1995 |
FRO
3 - 0
SMR
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
SMR
0 - 2
SCO
4%
15%
81%
|
54 | 89 | 35 | 0 |