Scotland vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.7%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
12.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
16%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.3%
1.9%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
ROU
1 - 0
SCO
49%
27%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
SUI
2 - 2
SCO
40%
29%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SMR
0 - 2
SCO
5%
18%
77%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SCO
1 - 1
BGR
61%
25%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
SCO
0 - 1
SUN
35%
30%
35%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
BGR
4 - 0
SMR
92%
6%
2%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
SUI
7 - 0
SMR
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1991 |
SMR
0 - 3
BGR
12%
21%
67%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
SMR
0 - 2
SCO
5%
18%
77%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
SMR
1 - 3
ROU
4%
16%
80%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | -1 |