Scotland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1961 |
ENG
9 - 3
SCO
81%
11%
7%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1960 |
SCO
5 - 2
NIR
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCO
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1960 |
TUR
4 - 2
SCO
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
HUN
3 - 3
SCO
89%
8%
4%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1960 |
IRL
3 - 1
NOR
63%
17%
20%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1960 |
IRL
2 - 3
WAL
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1960 |
SWE
4 - 1
IRL
83%
11%
7%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1960 |
GER
0 - 1
IRL
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1960 |
IRL
6 - 3
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |