Scotland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1980 |
SWE
0 - 1
SCO
48%
27%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
HUN
3 - 1
SCO
70%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1980 |
POL
1 - 0
SCO
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1980 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1980 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
68%
21%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
POR
1 - 1
USA
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
SCO
4 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
POR
1 - 2
AUT
48%
28%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1979 |
POR
3 - 1
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |