Scotland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
NIR
3 - 2
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1965 |
FIN
1 - 2
SCO
26%
21%
53%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
SCO
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
SCO
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FIN
2 - 0
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
SCO
35%
23%
42%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
POL
0 - 0
ITA
31%
24%
44%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 0
POL
62%
19%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |