Scotland vs Peru analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
NED
2 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
SCO
1 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
SCO
2 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1971 |
SUN
1 - 0
SCO
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 0
SCO
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
ROU
2 - 2
PER
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1972 |
SUN
2 - 0
PER
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
MEX
2 - 1
PER
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1972 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
28%
21%
51%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
51%
22%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |