Scotland vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1982 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1982 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
66%
22%
12%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCO
35%
29%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1982 |
SCO
2 - 1
NED
45%
27%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1982 |
ESP
3 - 0
SCO
60%
24%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
11%
20%
69%
|
66 | 90 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1982 |
NZL
1 - 2
HUN
12%
21%
67%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
JPN
0 - 1
NZL
62%
19%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 0
NZL
25%
22%
54%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1981 |
IDN
0 - 0
NZL
41%
22%
37%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |