Scotland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
AUT
3 - 2
SCO
50%
26%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
SCO
3 - 2
NED
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
IRN
74%
15%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
PER
3 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
40%
27%
32%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
BEL
1 - 1
NOR
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 2
AUT
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1978 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
33%
24%
43%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
IRL
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |