Scotland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
NIR
2 - 1
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1963 |
ESP
2 - 6
SCO
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
IRL
1 - 0
SCO
41%
22%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1963 |
NOR
4 - 3
SCO
31%
23%
46%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1963 |
SCO
4 - 1
AUT
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SUI
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
NOR
0 - 4
DEN
43%
22%
35%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
POL
9 - 0
NOR
68%
16%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 1963 |
SWE
0 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1963 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
37%
22%
41%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |