Scotland vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
SCO
1 - 0
RSA
66%
22%
13%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 2
SCO
19%
26%
55%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 1
SCO
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
SCO
69%
21%
10%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SCO
2 - 1
GEO
68%
21%
12%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
LTU
2 - 1
TKM
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 2
ITA
11%
24%
66%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 0
GEO
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
UKR
1 - 0
LTU
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 1
FRA
9%
22%
70%
|
74 | 99 | 25 | 0 |