Scotland vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
GER
2 - 1
SCO
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SCO
3 - 1
FRO
87%
10%
2%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 1
GER
25%
26%
49%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2003 |
SCO
1 - 1
NZL
68%
21%
11%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
FRO
1 - 3
LTU
35%
25%
40%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
BGR
3 - 0
LTU
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2003 |
LVA
2 - 1
LTU
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
EST
1 - 5
LTU
48%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
LTU
0 - 3
ISL
39%
27%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |