Scotland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
37.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
SCO
0 - 0
POR
52%
28%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
SUI
3 - 1
SCO
41%
29%
30%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1992 |
SCO
3 - 0
SUN
37%
29%
34%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1992 |
SCO
0 - 2
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1992 |
NED
1 - 0
SCO
59%
24%
17%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
ITA
2 - 2
SUI
67%
22%
11%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1992 |
NED
2 - 3
ITA
45%
30%
25%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1992 |
USA
1 - 1
ITA
23%
32%
45%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1992 |
ITA
2 - 0
IRL
65%
24%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
ITA
0 - 0
POR
65%
23%
12%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |