Scotland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
17%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.2%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
SCO
2 - 1
BGR
68%
20%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
WAL
0 - 2
SCO
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
SCO
3 - 1
CSK
54%
26%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1977 |
DDR
1 - 0
SCO
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 0
SCO
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
NIR
3 - 0
BEL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
NIR
0 - 1
NED
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
NIR
2 - 0
ISL
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
ISL
1 - 0
NIR
26%
23%
50%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1977 |
NIR
1 - 1
WAL
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |