Scotland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1975 |
WAL
2 - 2
SCO
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1975 |
SCO
1 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
SWE
1 - 1
SCO
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
SCO
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
SCO
1 - 2
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1975 |
NIR
0 - 0
ENG
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
NIR
1 - 0
YUG
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 2
NIR
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
NOR
2 - 1
NIR
43%
25%
33%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1974 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
43%
24%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |