Scotland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 1
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
WAL
3 - 2
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1964 |
GER
2 - 2
SCO
62%
19%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1964 |
SCO
1 - 0
ENG
35%
22%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
SUI
2 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1964 |
NIR
1 - 0
SUI
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
NIR
3 - 4
ENG
20%
19%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
NIR
3 - 0
URU
35%
22%
43%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1964 |
WAL
2 - 3
NIR
67%
17%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |