Scotland vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1960 |
WAL
2 - 0
SCO
45%
23%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1960 |
TUR
4 - 2
SCO
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1960 |
HUN
3 - 3
SCO
89%
8%
4%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
AUT
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1960 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
3 - 4
BRD
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1960 |
NIR
2 - 5
ENG
20%
20%
61%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1960 |
WAL
3 - 2
NIR
65%
19%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NIR
0 - 4
SCO
44%
23%
34%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |