Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1972 |
SCO
1 - 0
WAL
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
SCO
2 - 0
NIR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
SCO
2 - 0
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
NED
2 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
SCO
1 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1972 |
ENG
0 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
4%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1972 |
BRD
0 - 0
ENG
52%
23%
25%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
ENG
1 - 3
BRD
67%
19%
14%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
GRC
0 - 2
ENG
20%
24%
56%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |