Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
71%
17%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1963 |
SCO
6 - 1
NOR
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
NIR
2 - 1
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1963 |
ESP
2 - 6
SCO
66%
18%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1963 |
IRL
1 - 0
SCO
41%
22%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
ENG
8 - 3
NIR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1963 |
ENG
2 - 1
FIF
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 10 | 78 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
21%
20%
60%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1963 |
SUI
1 - 8
ENG
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
DDR
1 - 2
ENG
15%
18%
66%
|
88 | 43 | 45 | 0 |