Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1959 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1959 |
NIR
0 - 4
SCO
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1959 |
POR
1 - 0
SCO
42%
23%
35%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1959 |
NED
1 - 2
SCO
51%
21%
28%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1959 |
SCO
3 - 2
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 1
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1959 |
ENG
2 - 3
SWE
66%
17%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1959 |
WAL
1 - 1
ENG
19%
20%
62%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
USA
1 - 8
ENG
31%
22%
47%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
MEX
2 - 1
ENG
35%
22%
43%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |