Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1957 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1957 |
SCO
3 - 2
SUI
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
NIR
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
42%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
ESP
4 - 1
SCO
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1957 |
GER
1 - 3
SCO
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1957 |
ENG
4 - 0
FRA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1957 |
ENG
2 - 3
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
WAL
0 - 4
ENG
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
IRL
1 - 1
ENG
31%
22%
48%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 4
ENG
24%
21%
55%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |