Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
42.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1951 |
SCO
0 - 1
WAL
71%
16%
13%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1951 |
NIR
0 - 3
SCO
34%
22%
44%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
AUT
4 - 0
SCO
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
BEL
0 - 5
SCO
45%
21%
34%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1951 |
SCO
1 - 0
FRA
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 2
AUT
70%
15%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 0
NIR
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1951 |
WAL
1 - 1
ENG
27%
20%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 2
FRA
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1951 |
ENG
5 - 2
POR
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |