Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
43%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1947 |
SCO
1 - 2
WAL
70%
16%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1947 |
NIR
2 - 0
SCO
33%
22%
45%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1947 |
LUX
0 - 6
SCO
33%
22%
45%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCO
36%
22%
42%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1947 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1947 |
ENG
4 - 2
SWE
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1947 |
ENG
2 - 2
NIR
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1947 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
29%
20%
51%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
BEL
2 - 5
ENG
25%
19%
56%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1947 |
POR
0 - 10
ENG
32%
21%
47%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |