Scotland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1906 |
SCO
0 - 2
WAL
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCO
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
SCO
4 - 0
IDI
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1905 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
25%
24%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1906 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 5
ENG
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCO
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1905 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 1
IDI
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |