Scotland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
61.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SCO
2 - 0
MKD
65%
22%
13%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
NOR
4 - 0
SCO
53%
26%
22%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
2 - 1
ISL
66%
22%
13%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
NED
3 - 0
SCO
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
SCO
0 - 1
ARG
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
NED
3 - 0
JPN
70%
20%
11%
|
99 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
NED
2 - 2
ENG
49%
26%
25%
|
99 | 99 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
NED
2 - 0
NOR
70%
19%
10%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 2
NED
11%
21%
68%
|
99 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
NED
4 - 0
MKD
80%
15%
5%
|
99 | 79 | 20 | 0 |