Scotland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
MLT
0 - 2
SCO
13%
21%
66%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
ITA
3 - 1
SCO
64%
23%
13%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
SCO
1 - 1
SUI
47%
28%
25%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1993 |
SCO
3 - 1
EST
85%
11%
4%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1993 |
EST
0 - 3
SCO
17%
24%
60%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
TUN
2 - 2
NED
16%
25%
59%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
POL
1 - 3
NED
31%
27%
41%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
NED
2 - 0
ENG
44%
28%
28%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
SMR
0 - 7
NED
6%
16%
78%
|
92 | 57 | 35 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1993 |
NED
0 - 0
NOR
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |