Scotland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
SCO
1 - 0
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
LUX
1 - 2
SCO
9%
21%
71%
|
87 | 37 | 50 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SCO
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 1
SCO
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 1
MKD
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 1
AUT
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 0
WAL
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 1
SCO
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SRB
6 - 1
WAL
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 2
BEL
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |