Scotland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1974 |
SCO
0 - 1
NIR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
GER
2 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
SCO
1 - 1
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
CSK
1 - 0
SCO
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
SCO
2 - 1
CSK
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1974 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1973 |
POL
3 - 0
WAL
79%
13%
7%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1973 |
NIR
1 - 0
WAL
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1973 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1973 |
WAL
0 - 2
SCO
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |