Scotland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1972 |
SCO
2 - 0
NIR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1972 |
SCO
2 - 0
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1971 |
NED
2 - 1
SCO
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
SCO
1 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
SCO
2 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1972 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1971 |
ROU
2 - 0
WAL
60%
21%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
CSK
1 - 0
WAL
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
WAL
3 - 0
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 1
WAL
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |