Scotland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
NIR
1 - 0
SCO
37%
23%
40%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1967 |
SCO
0 - 2
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
ENG
2 - 3
SCO
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
SCO
2 - 1
NIR
70%
17%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1967 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
20%
22%
58%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NIR
0 - 0
WAL
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1966 |
ENG
5 - 1
WAL
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
WAL
1 - 1
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
CHI
2 - 0
WAL
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |