Scotland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCO
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
SCO
4 - 0
IDI
58%
23%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1905 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
25%
24%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1904 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1904 |
IDI
1 - 1
SCO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
IDI
2 - 2
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1905 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1905 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
25%
24%
50%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1904 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
31%
25%
43%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1904 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |