Scotland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
SCO
3 - 0
ISL
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
SCO
6 - 1
YUG
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
SCO
59%
24%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1984 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
32%
28%
40%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1984 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
63%
23%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1984 |
ESP
3 - 0
WAL
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1984 |
FRA
2 - 0
ESP
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1984 |
DEN
1 - 1
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1984 |
ESP
1 - 0
BRD
36%
27%
37%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1984 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
44%
28%
28%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |