Scotland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 1
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1964 |
WAL
3 - 2
SCO
36%
23%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1964 |
GER
2 - 2
SCO
62%
19%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1965 |
IRL
1 - 0
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
POR
2 - 1
ESP
30%
23%
47%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUN
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1964 |
ESP
2 - 1
HUN
55%
20%
25%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
IRL
0 - 2
ESP
40%
23%
37%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |