Scotland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1957 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1956 |
SCO
2 - 0
YUG
48%
23%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 0
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1956 |
WAL
2 - 2
SCO
40%
23%
38%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
AUT
50%
22%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
BEL
0 - 5
ESP
49%
22%
30%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ESP
2 - 2
SUI
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1957 |
ESP
5 - 1
NED
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
POR
3 - 1
ESP
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1955 |
ENG
4 - 1
ESP
76%
13%
10%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |