Scotland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1986 |
NED
0 - 0
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
ENG
2 - 1
SCO
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
SCO
3 - 0
ROU
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1986 |
ISR
0 - 1
SCO
32%
30%
38%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1985 |
AUS
0 - 0
SCO
40%
29%
31%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1986 |
DEN
1 - 0
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
35%
25%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
BGR
3 - 0
DEN
49%
26%
25%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
NIR
1 - 1
DEN
47%
28%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
IRL
1 - 4
DEN
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |