Scotland vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 0
POR
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
SCO
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
SCO
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
HUN
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
POL
3 - 3
CRO
34%
25%
41%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
SCO
66%
20%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 0
POL
52%
23%
25%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |