Scotland vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 2
SCO
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SCO
0 - 2
BEL
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ENG
3 - 2
SCO
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 1
SCO
72%
19%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
SRB
2 - 0
SCO
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
KOR
1 - 2
CRO
27%
26%
47%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SRB
1 - 1
CRO
19%
24%
57%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
LIE
2 - 3
CRO
6%
16%
78%
|
92 | 28 | 64 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
CRO
0 - 1
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | -1 |