Scotland vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
WAL
0 - 2
SCO
31%
28%
41%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
SCO
3 - 1
CSK
54%
26%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1977 |
DDR
1 - 0
SCO
55%
25%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 0
SCO
70%
20%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1977 |
ARG
1 - 1
SCO
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
FRA
3 - 1
BGR
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
BGR
0 - 0
GRC
73%
16%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
IRL
0 - 0
BGR
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
TUR
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BGR
2 - 1
IRL
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |