Scotland vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
4.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
EST
0 - 0
SCO
12%
23%
66%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
BIH
1 - 2
SCO
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
CZE
3 - 2
SCO
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FRO
1 - 1
SCO
13%
23%
64%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
GER
0 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
CZE
3 - 0
BIH
89%
8%
3%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
BIH
1 - 2
SCO
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
LIE
0 - 0
BIH
10%
18%
73%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
FRO
2 - 2
BIH
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
BIH
2 - 0
LTU
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |