Scotland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
SCO
2 - 1
POR
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1971 |
SUN
1 - 0
SCO
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 0
SCO
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1971 |
ENG
3 - 1
SCO
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1971 |
SCO
0 - 1
NIR
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
BEL
1 - 0
LUX
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 2
BEL
40%
23%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1971 |
LUX
0 - 4
BEL
24%
21%
55%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 0
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1971 |
BEL
3 - 0
SCO
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |