Scotland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1955 |
SCO
2 - 0
WAL
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1955 |
NIR
2 - 1
SCO
36%
22%
42%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
HUN
3 - 1
SCO
87%
8%
5%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1955 |
AUT
1 - 4
SCO
68%
17%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
AUT
2 - 3
BRA
53%
20%
27%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
FRA
3 - 1
AUT
48%
21%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1955 |
WAL
1 - 2
AUT
38%
22%
40%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
AUT
2 - 1
YUG
58%
19%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
HUN
6 - 1
AUT
86%
9%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |