WC Qual. Europe Repescas Final
Global 2-0
Scotland vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1985 |
SCO
0 - 0
DDR
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1985 |
WAL
1 - 1
SCO
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
ISL
0 - 1
SCO
14%
22%
64%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1985 |
SCO
1 - 0
ENG
35%
28%
38%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1985 |
SCO
0 - 1
WAL
69%
20%
11%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1985 |
AUS
3 - 0
CHN
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1984 |
CHN
3 - 2
AUS
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
SGP
2 - 4
AUS
20%
24%
55%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1983 |
KOR
1 - 3
AUS
60%
24%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1983 |
THA
0 - 2
AUS
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |