Scotland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1909 |
WAL
3 - 2
SCO
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1908 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
IDI
0 - 5
SCO
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
6%
17%
77%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
IDI
0 - 5
SCO
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |