Scotland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1905 |
WAL
3 - 1
SCO
25%
24%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1904 |
SCO
0 - 1
ENG
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1904 |
IDI
1 - 1
SCO
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1904 |
SCO
1 - 1
WAL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1903 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 1
IDI
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1904 |
IDI
1 - 1
SCO
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1904 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
31%
25%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1904 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1903 |
IDI
2 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |