UAE vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
17.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
20.6%
2-0
19.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
19.1%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
8.9%
1.7%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
UAE
2 - 1
LBN
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
UAE
1 - 0
KWT
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CRC
1 - 4
UAE
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
UAE
2 - 0
THA
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
UAE
0 - 0
TJK
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
LAO
0 - 1
NPL
21%
22%
57%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 1
LAO
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
MMR
1 - 0
NPL
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MMR
0 - 0
NPL
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 0
PAK
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |