UAE vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
1 - 1
JPN
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
UAE
0 - 0
IDN
78%
14%
9%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1986 |
OMA
0 - 0
UAE
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
IRQ
1 - 2
UAE
79%
14%
8%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1986 |
UAE
2 - 1
THA
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1988 |
UAE
1 - 1
JPN
52%
22%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1987 |
JPN
2 - 2
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
JPN
4 - 0
BGD
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
JPN
0 - 2
KWT
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1986 |
JPN
0 - 2
IRN
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |