UAE vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 0
KWT
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CRI
1 - 4
ARE
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
ARE
2 - 0
THA
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 0
TJK
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
QAT
1 - 1
ARE
64%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MNE
3 - 2
LBN
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
LBN
0 - 0
IND
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
1 - 0
MDV
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 4
LBN
5%
19%
76%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
2 - 0
BGD
86%
11%
3%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |