UAE vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
UAE
3 - 0
PLE
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UAE
1 - 0
UZB
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
KWT
2 - 1
UAE
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UAE
0 - 2
KOR
20%
25%
55%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
KOR
2 - 1
UAE
73%
19%
9%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRQ
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 1
KOR
12%
23%
65%
|
58 | 91 | 33 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
KWT
0 - 1
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
IRQ
1 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
LBN
2 - 2
KWT
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +1 |